A comprehensive Federal Reserve analysis has revealed the dramatic expansion of traditional banks’ financial support for the burgeoning private credit industry, with large banks’ total loan commitments to private equity and private credit fund sponsors reaching approximately $300 billion, or 14 percent of their total loan commitments to non-bank financial institutions, as of 2023, up from around $10 billion, or about one percent, in 2013.
The findings, detailed in multiple Federal Reserve research publications released in recent months, underscore how traditional banks have become key enablers of the private credit boom despite competing directly with these firms for lending opportunities. The asset class totaled $1.34 trillion in the U.S. and nearly $2 trillion globally by 2024-Q2, and has grown roughly five times since 2009.
The relationship reflects a fundamental shift in banking strategy, with institutions finding ways to participate in private credit growth while managing regulatory capital requirements. Fund-level loans to private equity and private credit made up about 14%, or $300 billion, of large banks’ total loan commitments to non-bank financial institutions in 2023 – up from about 1% in 2013.
Federal Reserve researchers identified several key drivers behind this expansion. The largest investors, or Limited Partners (LP), in private credit funds are pension funds, insurance companies, family office, sovereign wealth funds and high net worth individuals, creating substantial demand for credit facilities that banks are positioned to provide through secured lending arrangements.
The research reveals significant concentration among borrowers, with five companies the recipients of about $100 billion, or one-third, of the loan commitments that large banks have to private funds. However, researchers note that even if one private fund management company has billions in loans, each loan has its own individual repayment terms and collateral, which lowers the potential default risks banks face.
The Federal Reserve’s analysis highlights growing regulatory concerns about transparency and systemic risk. While immediate risks from private credit vehicles appear limited due to their moderate use of leverage and long-term capital lockups, the lack of transparency and understanding of the interconnectedness between private credit and the rest of the financial system makes it difficult to assess the implications for systemic vulnerabilities.
In response to these concerns, banking regulators have proposed new reporting requirements. On December 27, 2023, the US federal banking regulators proposed a new set of reporting requirements for bank loans and commitments to private credit lenders and intermediaries, reflecting both the sector’s rapid growth and regulators’ desire to better understand credit concentrations in the banking system.
The comprehensive Federal Reserve study examined data from 31 large banks with more than $100 billion in assets, analyzing details of more than 50,000 fund-level loan commitments. The research provides unprecedented insight into what researchers describe as “opaque” lending relationships because public disclosures in these industries are limited.
For more details on the Federal Reserve’s analysis, visit the Federal Reserve’s research publication on bank lending to private credit.